Monday, June 16, 2008

Fareed Zakaria, The post-American world, W. W. Norton, 2008


Fareed Zakaria, The post-American World, 2008, CB 161.Z34

In his book, Fareed Zakaria, one of the remaining intellectually sound members of US international relations elite, explains why the United States will retain global hegemony in the world, which seem to reject US hegemony while trying to imitate American practices and institutions.

His argument is based on the fact that the US still possess the most instruments of hard and soft power in comparison with other states and blocks. This thesis is quite convincing on its own. Yet, it would be useful, if the author actually visits United States. The USA, which he describes is a sort of Beltway fantasy world created by Ivy League graduates, to which few Americans are admitted or even heard of, the world of elite schools, hedge funds and think tanks. It will be also valuable, if he studies European history on his own, rather than from hearing neocon tales of his Harvard pal Joseph Joffe. In particular, his explanations on what went wrong with the British Empire are factually incorrect and economically incompetent.

The leading factor, determining the rise and fall of the states, in my view, namely, the intellectual capacity of governing elites he omits entirely. I remember that in 1970s, USSR achieved strategic parity with the United States, and the war became unlikely. Sheer size of the Soviet Empire guaranteed its survival, or so it was thought. The life was austere but it slowly improved and was better, anyway, than any living Russian could remember and definitely superior to that in Maoist China.

Western Europe was far from being a facade of capitalist utopia, the myth, which emerged a decade later. At the time Italy was considered ungovernable and swamped with crime and terrorism, UK's economic malaise was reckoned to reduce it to the Third World status, Spain and Portugal were only emerging from the horrors of Franco and Salazar era with significant plurality of Spaniards and majority of Portuguese being simply illiterate.

Opposition to Communist regime was tiny, disjointed and suppressed. Yet, any attentive observer saw the rot, which paralyzed ruling elite and the populace. The essence of this rot was that informal structures of cronies and patronage were quickly supplanting Communist officialdom. Stalin, a tribal-minded Georgian, knew that it would undermine his vision and he organized purges once in 5-6 years to uproot these networks by murder and mutual betrayal.

In the new Guilded Age the same thing happens in the US: elections and party machines are losing in importance to cronyism and patronage, the closeness to Bush and Cheney families, plug-in to "Old Boys" network of Southern politicians and uber-lobbyists, such as Jack Abramoff [1]. Certainly, the Tammany Hall, Boston brahmins, Daley machine in Chicago or Louisiana morass existed before, but these networks were local in nature and they did not touch national security. Before the Civil War and between two world wars, the Army probably had its own unconstitutional hierarchies but these did not involve political agendas, only promotion within services, and were quickly undermined by the events.

The present-day American Empire, a.k.a. The New World Order, despite all its military might and technical-scientific supremacy--the latter much reduced from the 20-50 years ago--is not sustainable. Like the Soviet Empire of old, it offers little to imitation and wonder, but its military prowess. As the world becomes more globalized, its elites become more and more parochial in their outlook, forever trapped in the glory of the Confederate South, and newly proletarianized masses (in Roman, not in Marxian sense) share neither goals, nor premises of these elites. As America becomes more multicolored and multicultured, its elite--the Cabinet, the Congress, the media tycoons--look as if they all descended from the same city in Yoknapatawpha County. Behind the glistening facade described by Zakaria and the "Economist," American Empire is a rotten edifice and instead of the recipes of maintaining it, the best minds of the establishment, like Zakaria, will be prudent to imagine the world without it. This does not mean that the United States will disappear. Vice versa, withdrawal from the Empire may initiate glorious "Golden Years" of American polity rather than its traumatic collapse.

To read a footnote, please go to the comment #1

Friday, April 18, 2008

Sonke Neitzel. Tapping Hitler's Generals, transcripts of secret converstations, 1942-1945.


Sonke, Neitzel. Tapping Hitler's Generals, transcripts of secret conversations, 1942-1945.

Translated by G. Brooks, Introduction by I. Kershaw. Frontline Books, MBI Publishing, St. Paul, 2007.

The myth of the Wehrmacht non-involvement in Nazi brutalities was started to be
invented long before the end of the war. The transcripts show that the generals
were very well informed about mass executions of the Jews, as well as the
treatment of POWs, such as summary executions of commanders, political officers
(a.k.a. commissars) and pretty much starving and exposure of the rest to the elements. Their general resentment of the SS, of which they made much after the war, was concerned not with its policies of extermination but with conventional inter-service rivalry.

My conclusion: Interesting book for the period historians. Of limited interest to anybody else.

Uri Bar-Noi. The Cold War and Soviet Mistrust of Churchill's Pursuit of Detente, 1951-1955.


Uri Bar-Noi, The Cold War and Soviet Mistrust of Churchill's Pursuit of Detente.

DA47.65.B37 2008, Sussex Academic Press, Brighton

The book's title and introduction belie its own thoroughly researched story,
namely, that the post-War Britain was in no position to act as interlocutor
between the USSR and the USA. Furthermore, the British elite did not share
Churchill's attempts at Realpolitik.

My conclusion: The study of so far unknown chapter of the Cold War. A for historical research, C- for the inclusion into the broader Cold War context.

Pascal Marchand, Géopolitique de la Russie, Ellipses, 2008

Pascal Marchand, Géopolitique de la Russie, Ellipses, 2008.

ISBN 978-2-7298-3258-2

Jeffrey Minkoff, Russian Foreign Policy, Council of Foreign Relations Book, Rouman & Littlefill Publishers, 2009

Trivial, one-sided and, as always, arrogant account of the Russian politics and economics. Most of his, as everyone’s, stories of Russia’s decay in the 90s are based on comparison with the Communist-era statistics, which had little relation to real state of things. For instance, paupers ostensibly did not exist under Communism, so 100% of the growth in their numbers is attributed to economic reform, etc. etc.

Yet, the author recognizes that Russia has undergone, in his words, “a Copernican transformation” and makes a sound conclusion that the stability in Eurasia is impossible without Russia’s inclusion. Thus, he advises EU and NATO to part with its current containment policies and suggests engaging Russia in European institutions.

For the review Minkoff's book please navigate to comment #1

Wednesday, February 6, 2008

Azar Gat, War in Human Civilization, Oxford University Press, 2006

Azar Gat, War in Human Civilization, Oxford University Press, 2006

ISBN-13: 978-0199262137

The book is long (800+ pages) and contains a lot of extremely interesting material, primarily about ancient warfare. I would recommend it as a useful substitute to J. Keegan book (John Keegan, “A History of Warfare”), which in a fashion, typical of English social sciences, mixes brilliant writing with superficial scholarship as predictably as English lunches wash down awful food with excellent tea.

In particular, he puts forward an amazing idea that war as a human institution may be at its historic end. In the technological society where competition for resources becomes obsolete, it does not serve any useful function, remaining simply a blood sport for channeling innate male aggression. This idea appeals to me very much and I plan to elaborate on it more in the future.

To read the whole post please follow link to comment #1